Wake v Port City: the model read
Wake meet Port City in the USL League Two group stage. The model makes Port City the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 32% WAK, 28% draw, 40% POR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Port City, 30% against 20%. Attacking output favors Port City on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Port City at 56%; double chance reads Wake or draw 60%, Port City or draw 68%.
Wake arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ North Carolina Fusion, W 3-1 v Port City, W 3-2 @ Tobacco Road, L 0-4 v Charlotte Independence 2.
Port City are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Tobacco Road, L 1-3 @ Wake, L 1-2 v North Carolina Fusion, L 0-3 v Appalachian.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wake 3-1 Port City.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
