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USL League Two · Group Stage · USA

Des Moines Menace v Santafé Wanderers

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Des Moines Menace v Santafé Wanderers: the model read

Des Moines Menace meet Santafé Wanderers in the USL League Two group stage. The model makes Santafé Wanderers the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 33% DES, 27% draw, 40% SAN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 63%. Attacking output favors Santafé Wanderers on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 88%, over 2.5 goals around 92%. Draw no bet leans Santafé Wanderers at 55%; double chance reads Des Moines Menace or draw 60%, Santafé Wanderers or draw 67%.

Des Moines Menace arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v St. Louis Ambush, W 4-2 @ Springfield, L 0-3 v Santafé Wanderers, L 1-2 @ Sunflower State.

Santafé Wanderers are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 20 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Sunflower State, W 3-0 @ Des Moines Menace, L 4-5 v Springfield, W 5-0 @ Sunflower State.

Des Moines Menace hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Des Moines Menace 0-3 Santafé Wanderers.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Des Moines Menace

LLLWW10-2-8

Scored 1.90 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • WHSt. Louis Ambush3-1
  • WASpringfield4-2
  • LHSantafé Wanderers0-3
  • LASunflower State1-2
  • LHPeoria1-2

Santafé Wanderers

WWLWW11-3-6

Scored 2.40 · Conceded 1.80 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WHSunflower State3-2
  • WADes Moines Menace3-0
  • LHSpringfield4-5
  • WASunflower State5-0
  • WHSunflower State5-2

Head-to-head

6 meetings

Des Moines MenacerecordSantafé Wanderers
3
2
1 draw

Goals

13-11

for each

Avg goals

4.0

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

83%

3+ goals

Des Moines Menace

Recent
LDLWWW
Wins 3Goals 13-11

Biggest win 3-0

Santafé Wanderers

Recent
WDWLLL
Wins 2Goals 11-13

Biggest win 3-0

  • Des Moines Menace0-3Santafé Wanderers
  • Santafé Wanderers1-1Des Moines Menace
  • Des Moines Menace2-3Santafé Wanderers
  • Santafé Wanderers0-3Des Moines Menace
  • Santafé Wanderers3-4Des Moines Menace
  • Des Moines Menace3-1Santafé Wanderers

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.