St George Willawong v Caboolture: the model read
St George Willawong meet Caboolture in the Queensland Premier League regular season - 19 at Willawong, undefined. The model makes Caboolture the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 21% ST , 27% draw, 52% CAB.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Caboolture, 48% against 25%. Attacking output favors Caboolture on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Caboolture at 71%; double chance reads St George Willawong or draw 48%, Caboolture or draw 79%.
St George Willawong arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Caboolture, L 0-2 v Robina City, W 2-0 @ Capalaba, W 2-0 v North Star.
Caboolture are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ St George Willawong, L 0-3 v Brisbane Roar, D 1-1 @ Broadbeach United, L 1-2 v SC Wanderers.
St George Willawong hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: St George Willawong 1-0 Caboolture.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output