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World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · Group Stage - 1 · World

Italy W v Sweden W

0-1Full time· Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria· Referee: O. Olmedo

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Italy W v Sweden W: the model read

Italy W meet Sweden W in the World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe group stage - 1 at Stadio Oreste Granillo, Reggio Calabria.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sweden W, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Sweden W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Italy W arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Sweden W, W 3-0 v Serbia W, D 0-0 @ Denmark W, W 6-0 @ Serbia W.

Sweden W are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Italy W, L 1-2 @ Denmark W, W 1-0 v Serbia W, L 1-2 v Denmark W.

Sweden W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sweden W 2-2 Italy W.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Italy W

DWDWD6-6-8

Scored 1.45 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 50%

  • DASweden W2-2
  • WHSerbia W3-0
  • DADenmark W0-0
  • WASerbia W6-0
  • DHDenmark W1-1

Sweden W

DLWLD8-7-5

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 55%

  • DHItaly W2-2
  • LADenmark W1-2
  • WHSerbia W1-0
  • LHDenmark W1-2
  • DASerbia W0-0

Head-to-head

8 meetings

Italy WrecordSweden W
0
4
4 draws

Goals

6-14

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

38%

3+ goals

Italy W

Recent
DLDLDL
Wins 0Goals 6-14

Sweden W

Recent
DWDWDW
Wins 4Goals 14-6

Biggest win 5-0

  • Sweden W2-2Italy W
  • Italy W0-1Sweden W
  • Italy W0-0Sweden W
  • Sweden W3-2Italy W
  • Sweden W1-1Italy W
  • Italy W0-1Sweden W
  • Sweden W5-0Italy W
  • Sweden W1-1Italy W

Managers

Andrea Soncin

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Johanna Almgren

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.