Where the market is wrong on Henan Jianye v Chongqing Tongliang Long
Henan Jianye meet Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League regular season - 25 at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Henan Jianye, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Henan Jianye on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Henan Jianye arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Chongqing Tongliang Long, D 4-4 @ Shenyang Urban, L 1-4 @ Shanghai Shenhua, D 0-0 v Qingdao Youth Island.
Chongqing Tongliang Long are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Henan Jianye, L 0-1 v Dalian Zhixing, D 0-0 @ Qingdao Youth Island, L 2-3 v SHANGHAI SIPG.
Henan Jianye hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Henan Jianye 1-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long.
The market prices HEN at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Chongqing Tongliang Long: a 11.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
