Where the market is wrong on Sichuan Jiuniu v Hangzhou Greentown
Sichuan Jiuniu meet Hangzhou Greentown in the Super League regular season - 24 at Longquanyi Stadium, Shenzhen.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 47%. Attacking output favors Hangzhou Greentown on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 68%. Draw no bet leans Sichuan Jiuniu at 51%; double chance reads Sichuan Jiuniu or draw 65%, Hangzhou Greentown or draw 64%.
Sichuan Jiuniu arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Hangzhou Greentown, W 2-1 @ Shenyang Urban, L 0-4 @ Beijing Guoan, W 2-0 v Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Hangzhou Greentown are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Sichuan Jiuniu, L 2-3 v Chengdu Better City, L 1-2 @ Beijing Guoan, W 3-2 v Dalian Zhixing.
The market prices SIC at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
