Wuhan Three Towns v Chongqing Tongliang Long

Wuhan Three Towns meet Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League regular season - 20 at Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan. The model makes Chongqing Tongliang Long the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 29% WUH, 30% draw, 41% CHO.

Chongqing Tongliang Long rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1407. Recent form leans Chongqing Tongliang Long, 57% against 39%. Attacking output favors Wuhan Three Towns on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Chongqing Tongliang Long at 59%; double chance reads Wuhan Three Towns or draw 59%, Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw 71%.

Wuhan Three Towns arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Chongqing Tongliang Long, D 2-2 v Shandong Luneng, W 2-0 v Sichuan Jiuniu, L 2-3 @ Dalian Zhixing.

Chongqing Tongliang Long are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Wuhan Three Towns, W 2-0 v Qingdao Youth Island, D 1-1 v Hangzhou Greentown, D 1-1 @ Chengdu Better City.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long.

The market prices WUH at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Chongqing Tongliang Long: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.