Sport Sinop v Luverdense: the model read
Sport Sinop meet Luverdense in the Matogrossense semi-finals. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 28% SPO, 37% draw, 35% LUV.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Luverdense, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Luverdense on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 10%. Draw no bet leans Luverdense at 56%; double chance reads Sport Sinop or draw 65%, Luverdense or draw 72%.
Sport Sinop arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Luverdense, L 0-1 v Luverdense, W 1-0 v Cuiaba, W 2-0 v Chapada.
Luverdense are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ ABC, D 0-0 v ABC, D 0-0 @ Guaporé, W 1-0 v Guaporé.
Luverdense hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Luverdense 1-2 Sport Sinop.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
