Bulleen Lions v Langwarrin

Bulleen Lions meet Langwarrin in the Victoria NPL 2 regular season - 22. The model makes Bulleen Lions the most likely outcome at 48%, with the full read 48% BUL, 26% draw, 26% LAN.

Bulleen Lions rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1420. Recent form leans Bulleen Lions, 60% against 38%. Attacking output favors Bulleen Lions on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Bulleen Lions at 65%; double chance reads Bulleen Lions or draw 74%, Langwarrin or draw 52%.

Bulleen Lions arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Langwarrin, W 4-2 @ Western United II, D 1-1 v Brunswick City, L 1-3 @ Melbourne Knights.

Langwarrin are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Bulleen Lions, L 0-1 v Brunswick Juventus FC, D 3-3 v Melbourne Victory II, L 1-6 v Eltham Redbacks FC.

Bulleen Lions hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bulleen Lions 3-1 Langwarrin.

The market prices BUL at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.