Rhyl v Caernarfon Town: the model read
Rhyl meet Caernarfon Town in the Welsh Cup semi-finals at Belle Vue, Rhyl. The model makes Caernarfon Town the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% RHY, 29% draw, 37% CAE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 53%. Attacking output favors Caernarfon Town on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 74%. Draw no bet leans Caernarfon Town at 52%; double chance reads Rhyl or draw 63%, Caernarfon Town or draw 66%.
Rhyl arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Llandudno, L 2-3 @ Colwyn Bay, L 2-3 @ Flint Town United, L 0-3 @ Penrhyncoch.
Caernarfon Town are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ FC Levadia Tallinn, L 0-5 v FC Levadia Tallinn, W 2-1 @ Glentoran, W 2-0 v Penybont.
Caernarfon Town hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rhyl 1-2 Caernarfon Town.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
