Where the market is wrong on CRB v America Mineiro
CRB meet America Mineiro in the Serie B regular season - 26 at Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio.
CRB rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans CRB, 68% against 28%. Attacking output favors CRB on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
CRB arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v America Mineiro, W 2-1 v Criciuma, L 1-2 @ Juventude, W 2-0 @ Athletic Club.
America Mineiro are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ CRB, W 2-0 v Ponte Preta, L 0-3 @ Sport Recife, L 0-3 @ Novorizontino.
America Mineiro hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CRB 3-1 America Mineiro.
The market prices CRB at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on America Mineiro: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
