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Serie B · Regular Season - 21 · Brazil

Botafogo SP v America Mineiro

· Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Botafogo SP v America Mineiro: the model read

Botafogo SP meet America Mineiro in the Serie B regular season - 21 at Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto. The model makes Botafogo SP the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% BOT, 32% draw, 27% AME.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Botafogo SP, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Botafogo SP on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Botafogo SP at 60%; double chance reads Botafogo SP or draw 73%, America Mineiro or draw 59%.

Botafogo SP arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Fortaleza EC, W 4-2 v Juventude, D 0-0 @ Londrina, D 3-3 @ Sport Recife.

America Mineiro are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Goias, L 1-2 @ Avai, D 1-1 v Ceara, D 1-1 v Londrina.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: America Mineiro 1-2 Botafogo SP.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Botafogo SP

WDDWL6-6-8

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 50%

  • LAFortaleza EC0-1
  • WHJuventude4-2
  • DALondrina0-0
  • DASport Recife3-3
  • WHAvai3-1

America Mineiro

LDDLW4-4-12

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 50%

  • WHGoias1-0
  • LAAvai1-2
  • DHCeara1-1
  • DHLondrina1-1
  • LACuiaba0-1

Head-to-head

9 meetings

Botafogo SPrecordAmerica Mineiro
3
3
3 draws

Goals

9-10

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

67%

both scored

Over 2.5

44%

3+ goals

Botafogo SP

Recent
WWLLDD
Wins 3Goals 9-10

Biggest win 2-1

America Mineiro

Recent
LLWWDD
Wins 3Goals 10-9

Biggest win 3-1

  • America Mineiro1-2Botafogo SP
  • Botafogo SP2-1America Mineiro
  • America Mineiro1-0Botafogo SP
  • America Mineiro3-1Botafogo SP
  • Botafogo SP1-1America Mineiro
  • America Mineiro1-1Botafogo SP
  • Botafogo SP1-2America Mineiro
  • Botafogo SP0-0America Mineiro
  • America Mineiro0-1Botafogo SP

Managers

Paulo Gomes

Head coach

In charge since 2024

Alberto Valentim

Brazil · 50

In charge since 2025 · 19 clubs managed

  • Ponte Preta2025–2025
  • Ituano2024–2024
  • Atlético Goianiense2023–2023
  • CSA2022–2022

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.