Botafogo SP v Juventude

Botafogo SP meet Juventude in the Serie B regular season - 19 at Estádio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto. The model makes Juventude the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 28% BOT, 34% draw, 38% JUV.

Juventude rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1466. Recent form leans Juventude, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Juventude on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Juventude at 57%; double chance reads Botafogo SP or draw 62%, Juventude or draw 72%.

Botafogo SP arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Juventude, D 0-0 @ Londrina, D 3-3 @ Sport Recife, W 3-1 v Avai.

Juventude are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Botafogo SP, W 2-0 v Cuiaba, W 1-0 v Vila Nova, D 0-0 @ Nautico Recife.

Botafogo SP hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Botafogo SP 4-2 Juventude.

The market prices BOT at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Juventude: a 6.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.