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K3 League · Regular Season - 25 · South-Korea

Ulsan Citizen v Changwon City

· Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Ulsan Citizen v Changwon City: the model read

Ulsan Citizen meet Changwon City in the K3 League regular season - 25 at Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 48%. Attacking output favors Changwon City on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Ulsan Citizen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Gyeongju HNP, W 2-1 v Busan Transportation, W 1-0 @ Jeonbuk Motors II, L 0-1 v Gwangju FC.

Changwon City are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Daejeon Korail, L 3-4 @ Busan Transportation, D 1-1 v Jeonbuk Motors II, L 1-5 v Gimhae City.

Changwon City hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Changwon City 2-0 Ulsan Citizen.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Ulsan Citizen

WLWWL7-4-9

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 45%

  • LHGyeongju HNP1-2
  • WHBusan Transportation2-1
  • WAJeonbuk Motors II1-0
  • LHGwangju FC0-1
  • WHUlsan Hyundai FC1-0

Changwon City

DLDLL6-7-7

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • LHDaejeon Korail0-1
  • LABusan Transportation3-4
  • DHJeonbuk Motors II1-1
  • LHGimhae City1-5
  • DHChuncheon1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Ulsan CitizenrecordChangwon City
2
7
1 draw

Goals

6-14

for each

Avg goals

2.0

per game

BTTS

20%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Ulsan Citizen

Recent
LLLLLW
Wins 2Goals 6-14

Biggest win 3-0

Changwon City

Recent
WWWWWL
Wins 7Goals 14-6

Biggest win 4-0

  • Changwon City2-0Ulsan Citizen
  • Ulsan Citizen0-1Changwon City
  • Changwon City2-1Ulsan Citizen
  • Changwon City1-0Ulsan Citizen
  • Ulsan Citizen0-4Changwon City
  • Changwon City1-2Ulsan Citizen
  • Ulsan Citizen3-0Changwon City
  • Ulsan Citizen0-2Changwon City
  • Changwon City0-0Ulsan Citizen
  • Changwon City1-0Ulsan Citizen

Managers

Yoon Won-Il

Head coach

In charge since 2021

Lee Young-Jin

Korea Republic · 53

In charge since 2024

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.