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K3 League · Regular Season - 21 · South-Korea

Changwon City v Daejeon Korail

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Changwon City v Daejeon Korail: the model read

Changwon City meet Daejeon Korail in the K3 League regular season - 21.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Daejeon Korail, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Daejeon Korail on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.

Changwon City arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Daejeon Korail, L 3-4 @ Busan Transportation, D 1-1 v Jeonbuk Motors II, L 1-5 v Gimhae City.

Daejeon Korail are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Changwon City, W 2-1 v Yangpyeong, L 0-2 @ Siheung Citizen, D 1-1 @ Pocheon.

Daejeon Korail hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Changwon City 0-1 Daejeon Korail.

The market prices CHA at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Changwon City

DLDLL6-7-7

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 50%

  • LHDaejeon Korail0-1
  • LABusan Transportation3-4
  • DHJeonbuk Motors II1-1
  • LHGimhae City1-5
  • DHChuncheon1-1

Daejeon Korail

LDLWW10-4-6

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 0.70 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 20%

  • WAChangwon City1-0
  • WHYangpyeong2-1
  • LASiheung Citizen0-2
  • DAPocheon1-1
  • LHGyeongju HNP0-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Changwon CityrecordDaejeon Korail
0
6
4 draws

Goals

7-14

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

30%

3+ goals

Changwon City

Recent
LLDDDL
Wins 0Goals 7-14

Daejeon Korail

Recent
WWDDDW
Wins 6Goals 14-7

Biggest win 4-2

  • Changwon City0-1Daejeon Korail
  • Daejeon Korail1-0Changwon City
  • Changwon City0-0Daejeon Korail
  • Daejeon Korail1-1Changwon City
  • Daejeon Korail3-3Changwon City
  • Changwon City0-1Daejeon Korail
  • Changwon City2-4Daejeon Korail
  • Daejeon Korail2-1Changwon City
  • Daejeon Korail1-0Changwon City
  • Changwon City0-0Daejeon Korail

Managers

Lee Young-Jin

Korea Republic · 53

In charge since 2024

Kim Chan-seok

Korea Republic · 54

In charge since 2025

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.