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Copa del Rey · Semi-finals · Spain

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid

3-0Full time· Camp Nou, Barcelona· Referee: R. De Burgos

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Barcelona v Atletico Madrid: the model read

Barcelona meet Atletico Madrid in the Copa del Rey semi-finals at Camp Nou, Barcelona.

Barcelona rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1535. Recent form leans Barcelona, 78% against 53%. Attacking output favors Barcelona on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.

Barcelona arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 19 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Rayo Vallecano, W 2-0 v Athletic Club, W 5-0 @ Elche, W 2-1 v Al Ahly.

Atletico Madrid are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Sevilla, D 2-2 v Villarreal, W 2-0 v Malaga, W 2-1 @ Marseille.

Barcelona hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Atletico Madrid 1-2 Barcelona.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Barcelona

WWWWW15-1-4

Scored 2.25 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 55%

  • WHRayo Vallecano5-2
  • WHAthletic Club2-0
  • WAElche5-0
  • WHAl Ahly2-1
  • WAFC Basel 18935-2

Atletico Madrid

LWWDW9-3-8

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WASevilla3-1
  • DHVillarreal2-2
  • WHMalaga2-0
  • WAMarseille2-1
  • LAManchester City1-3

Head-to-head

10 meetings

BarcelonarecordAtletico Madrid
6
3
1 draw

Goals

20-17

for each

Avg goals

3.7

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Barcelona

Recent
WLWWLW
Wins 6Goals 20-17

Biggest win 3-0

Atletico Madrid

Recent
LWLLWL
Wins 3Goals 17-20

Biggest win 4-0

  • Atletico Madrid1-2Barcelona
  • Barcelona0-2Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid1-2Barcelona
  • Barcelona3-0Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid4-0Barcelona
  • Barcelona3-1Atletico Madrid
  • Atletico Madrid0-1Barcelona
  • Atletico Madrid2-4Barcelona
  • Barcelona4-4Atletico Madrid
  • Barcelona1-2Atletico Madrid

Managers

H. Flick

Germany · 60

In charge since 2024 · 3 teams managed

  • Germany2021–2023
  • Bayern Munich2019–2021

D. Simeone

Argentina · 55

In charge since 2011 · 6 teams managed

  • Racing Club2011–2011
  • Catania2011–2011
  • San Lorenzo2009–2010
  • River Plate2007–2008

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.