Where the market is wrong on Maardu v FCI Levadia II
Maardu meet FCI Levadia II in the Esiliiga A regular season - 26 at Maardu linnastaadion, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors FCI Levadia II on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Maardu arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v FCI Levadia II, W 3-1 @ Tallinna Kalev, L 0-1 @ Elva, W 1-0 v FC Tallinn.
FCI Levadia II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Maardu, W 2-1 v FC Tallinn, L 2-4 @ Tartu Welco, L 0-5 @ Viimsi.
Maardu hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Maardu 4-2 FCI Levadia II.
The market prices MAA at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on FCI Levadia II: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
