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Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 24 · Estonia

Elva v Maardu

1-0Full time· Nike Arena, Elva

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Elva v Maardu: the model read

Elva meet Maardu in the Esiliiga A regular season - 24 at Nike Arena, Elva.

The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 55%. Attacking output favors Elva on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Elva at 63%; double chance reads Elva or draw 73%, Maardu or draw 54%.

Elva arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Maardu, L 0-1 @ Tallinna Kalev, W 3-0 v Joker, W 2-1 v Tartu Welco.

Maardu are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Elva, W 1-0 v FC Tallinn, L 1-2 v Viimsi, W 4-1 @ Nõmme Kalju II.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Elva

DWWLW11-3-6

Scored 2.15 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • WHMaardu1-0
  • LATallinna Kalev0-1
  • WHJoker3-0
  • WHTartu Welco2-1
  • DAFCI Levadia II2-2

Maardu

WWLWL9-4-7

Scored 1.65 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 70%

  • LAElva0-1
  • WHFC Tallinn1-0
  • LHViimsi1-2
  • WANõmme Kalju II4-1
  • WAFlora II3-1

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.