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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 30 · Ecuador

Macara v Emelec

· Estadio Bellavista, Ambato

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Macara v Emelec: the model read

Macara meet Emelec in the Liga Pro regular season - 30 at Estadio Bellavista, Ambato.

The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Macara arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Orense SC, L 0-1 @ Libertad, D 0-0 v Santos, D 1-1 v Universidad Catolica.

Emelec are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Leones del Norte, L 0-2 @ LDU de Quito, W 2-1 v Tecnico Universitario, D 0-0 @ Guayaquil City FC.

Emelec hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Emelec 2-0 Macara.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Macara

LDDLW9-6-5

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 0.90 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WAOrense SC2-1
  • LALibertad0-1
  • DHSantos0-0
  • DHUniversidad Catolica1-1
  • LASantos1-2

Emelec

LDWLW7-7-6

Scored 0.85 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 45% · BTTS 40%

  • WHLeones del Norte2-1
  • LALDU de Quito0-2
  • WHTecnico Universitario2-1
  • DAGuayaquil City FC0-0
  • LHAucas0-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

MacararecordEmelec
3
4
3 draws

Goals

9-14

for each

Avg goals

2.3

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Macara

Recent
LWWDDD
Wins 3Goals 9-14

Biggest win 3-0

Emelec

Recent
WLLDDD
Wins 4Goals 14-9

Biggest win 4-0

  • Emelec2-0Macara
  • Emelec0-2Macara
  • Macara3-0Emelec
  • Macara1-1Emelec
  • Emelec0-0Macara
  • Macara1-1Emelec
  • Emelec0-1Macara
  • Macara1-3Emelec
  • Emelec4-0Macara
  • Emelec3-0Macara

Managers

Guillermo Sanguinetti

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Cristian Nasuti

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.