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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 29 · Ecuador

Deportivo Cuenca v Libertad

· Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Deportivo Cuenca v Libertad: the model read

Deportivo Cuenca meet Libertad in the Liga Pro regular season - 29 at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, Cuenca.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Libertad, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Libertad on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.

Deportivo Cuenca arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Tecnico Universitario, D 0-0 v Mushuc Runa SC, L 0-2 @ Orense SC, L 1-2 v Manta FC.

Libertad are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Aucas, W 1-0 v Macara, D 2-2 @ Guayaquil City FC, W 2-1 v Universidad Catolica.

The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Libertad 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Deportivo Cuenca

LLLDL5-6-9

Scored 0.65 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 35%

  • LATecnico Universitario1-3
  • DHMushuc Runa SC0-0
  • LAOrense SC0-2
  • LHManta FC1-2
  • LAIndependiente del Valle0-1

Libertad

WWDWL8-4-8

Scored 1.10 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 40%

  • LAAucas0-1
  • WHMacara1-0
  • DAGuayaquil City FC2-2
  • WHUniversidad Catolica2-1
  • WHOrense SC3-0

Head-to-head

8 meetings

Deportivo CuencarecordLibertad
3
3
2 draws

Goals

9-8

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Deportivo Cuenca

Recent
WWLLDD
Wins 3Goals 9-8

Biggest win 3-0

Libertad

Recent
LLWWDD
Wins 3Goals 8-9

Biggest win 3-1

  • Libertad0-1Deportivo Cuenca
  • Deportivo Cuenca3-0Libertad
  • Libertad2-1Deportivo Cuenca
  • Deportivo Cuenca0-1Libertad
  • Deportivo Cuenca1-1Libertad
  • Libertad0-0Deportivo Cuenca
  • Deportivo Cuenca2-1Libertad
  • Libertad3-1Deportivo Cuenca

Managers

Fortunato Celico Jorge Cesar

Head coach

In charge since 2026

J. León

Ecuador · 50

In charge since 2024 · 4 teams managed

  • Orense2022–2023
  • 9 de Octubre2020–2022
  • Independiente U202012–2018

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.