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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 28 · Ecuador

Leones del Norte v Orense SC

1-0Full time· Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra· Referee: G. Gonzalez

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Leones del Norte v Orense SC

Leones del Norte meet Orense SC in the Liga Pro regular season - 28 at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra.

The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Leones del Norte, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Leones del Norte on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.

Leones del Norte arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Orense SC, L 1-2 @ Emelec, L 2-3 v Independiente del Valle, W 2-0 @ Manta FC.

Orense SC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Leones del Norte, L 1-2 v Macara, L 0-3 @ Barcelona SC, W 2-0 v Deportivo Cuenca.

The market prices LEO at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Orense SC: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Leones del Norte

LWLLW9-4-7

Scored 1.20 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 50%

  • WHOrense SC1-0
  • LAEmelec1-2
  • LHIndependiente del Valle2-3
  • WAManta FC2-0
  • LAAucas0-3

Orense SC

DWLLL6-3-11

Scored 1.05 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 55%

  • LALeones del Norte0-1
  • LHMacara1-2
  • LABarcelona SC0-3
  • WHDeportivo Cuenca2-0
  • DADelfin SC1-1

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Hernan Torres

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In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.