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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 28 · Ecuador

Delfin SC v Tecnico Universitario

1-0Full time· Estadio Jocay, Manta· Referee: Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano, Ecuador

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Delfin SC v Tecnico Universitario

Delfin SC meet Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro regular season - 28 at Estadio Jocay, Manta.

The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Delfin SC, 39% against 30%. Attacking output favors Tecnico Universitario on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.

Delfin SC arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Tecnico Universitario, L 0-1 @ Mushuc Runa SC, L 0-1 v Aucas, W 1-0 @ Cde Juventud Italiana.

Tecnico Universitario are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v LDU de Quito, L 0-1 @ Delfin SC, W 3-1 v Deportivo Cuenca, L 2-3 v Guayaquil City FC.

Delfin SC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Delfin SC 1-0 Tecnico Universitario.

The market prices DEL at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Tecnico Universitario: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Delfin SC

LWLLW6-3-10

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.21 · Clean sheets 26.3% · BTTS 42.1%

  • WHTecnico Universitario1-0
  • LAMushuc Runa SC0-1
  • LHAucas0-1
  • WACde Juventud Italiana1-0
  • LAIndependiente del Valle2-3

Tecnico Universitario

LLWLL6-0-14

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.70 · Clean sheets 15% · BTTS 40%

  • LHLDU de Quito1-3
  • LADelfin SC0-1
  • WHDeportivo Cuenca3-1
  • LHGuayaquil City FC2-3
  • LAEmelec1-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Delfin SCrecordTecnico Universitario
4
3
3 draws

Goals

9-12

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

30%

both scored

Over 2.5

40%

3+ goals

Delfin SC

Recent
WLLWWW
Wins 4Goals 9-12

Biggest win 2-0

Tecnico Universitario

Recent
LWWLLL
Wins 3Goals 12-9

Biggest win 4-0

  • Delfin SC1-0Tecnico Universitario
  • Tecnico Universitario4-0Delfin SC
  • Delfin SC0-1Tecnico Universitario
  • Tecnico Universitario1-2Delfin SC
  • Tecnico Universitario0-1Delfin SC
  • Delfin SC2-0Tecnico Universitario
  • Delfin SC2-2Tecnico Universitario
  • Tecnico Universitario3-0Delfin SC
  • Delfin SC0-0Tecnico Universitario
  • Tecnico Universitario1-1Delfin SC

Managers

Juan Leon

Head coach

In charge since 2026 · 2 teams managed

  • Libertad2026–2026

Bernardo Redin

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.