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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 27 · Ecuador

Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica

2-2Full time· Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito· Referee: Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero, Ecuador

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Independiente del Valle v Universidad Catolica: the model read

Independiente del Valle meet Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro regular season - 27 at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito.

Independiente del Valle rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1822 to 1512. Recent form leans Independiente del Valle, 93% against 50%. Attacking output favors Independiente del Valle on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.8 per match.

Independiente del Valle arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Universidad Catolica, W 3-1 v Deportes Tolima, W 3-2 @ Leones del Norte, W 1-0 @ Deportes Tolima.

Universidad Catolica are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Independiente del Valle, W 5-1 v Manta FC, D 1-1 @ Macara, L 1-2 @ Libertad.

Independiente del Valle hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Independiente del Valle 2-2 Universidad Catolica.

The market prices IND at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Universidad Catolica: a 2.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Independiente del Valle

WWWWD18-1-1

Scored 2.75 · Conceded 0.85 · Clean sheets 50% · BTTS 50%

  • DHUniversidad Catolica2-2
  • WHDeportes Tolima3-1
  • WALeones del Norte3-2
  • WADeportes Tolima1-0
  • WHDelfin SC3-2

Universidad Catolica

WLDWD8-4-8

Scored 1.75 · Conceded 1.35 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 60%

  • DAIndependiente del Valle2-2
  • WHManta FC5-1
  • DAMacara1-1
  • LALibertad1-2
  • WACuniburo3-2

Head-to-head

10 meetings

Independiente del VallerecordUniversidad Catolica
5
3
2 draws

Goals

16-11

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Independiente del Valle

Recent
DWWWLL
Wins 5Goals 16-11

Biggest win 3-0

Universidad Catolica

Recent
DLLLWW
Wins 3Goals 11-16

Biggest win 2-0

  • Independiente del Valle2-2Universidad Catolica
  • Universidad Catolica0-3Independiente del Valle
  • Universidad Catolica2-3Independiente del Valle
  • Universidad Catolica0-1Independiente del Valle
  • Independiente del Valle0-2Universidad Catolica
  • Independiente del Valle1-2Universidad Catolica
  • Universidad Catolica0-3Independiente del Valle
  • Independiente del Valle1-1Universidad Catolica
  • Independiente del Valle1-2Universidad Catolica
  • Universidad Catolica0-1Independiente del Valle

Managers

Joaquin Papa

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Away coach unavailable.

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.