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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 21 · Ecuador

Libertad v Delfin SC

1-0Full time· Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja· Referee: Gorky Stalin Araujo Zambrano, Ecuador

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Libertad v Delfin SC: the model read

Libertad meet Delfin SC in the Liga Pro regular season - 21 at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% LIB, 37% draw, 30% DEL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 35%. Attacking output favors Libertad on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans Libertad at 53%; double chance reads Libertad or draw 70%, Delfin SC or draw 67%.

Libertad arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Mushuc Runa SC, W 1-0 v Delfin SC, L 0-1 @ Barcelona SC, W 1-0 v Tecnico Universitario.

Delfin SC are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Leones del Norte, L 0-1 @ Libertad, W 2-1 v Macara, W 1-0 @ Manta FC.

Delfin SC hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Libertad 1-0 Delfin SC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Libertad

DWLWW5-6-9

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • WAMushuc Runa SC2-0
  • WHDelfin SC1-0
  • LABarcelona SC0-1
  • WHTecnico Universitario1-0
  • DALDU de Quito0-0

Delfin SC

LWWLL5-4-11

Scored 0.60 · Conceded 1.00 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 25%

  • LHLeones del Norte0-1
  • LALibertad0-1
  • WHMacara2-1
  • WAManta FC1-0
  • LAGuayaquil City FC1-2

Head-to-head

8 meetings

LibertadrecordDelfin SC
2
3
3 draws

Goals

7-8

for each

Avg goals

1.9

per game

BTTS

38%

both scored

Over 2.5

25%

3+ goals

Libertad

Recent
WDDLWD
Wins 2Goals 7-8

Biggest win 2-0

Delfin SC

Recent
LDDWLD
Wins 3Goals 8-7

Biggest win 3-1

  • Libertad1-0Delfin SC
  • Delfin SC0-0Libertad
  • Delfin SC0-0Libertad
  • Libertad0-1Delfin SC
  • Libertad2-0Delfin SC
  • Delfin SC1-1Libertad
  • Libertad1-3Delfin SC
  • Delfin SC3-2Libertad

Managers

J. León

Ecuador · 50

In charge since 2024 · 4 clubs managed

  • Orense2022–2023
  • 9 de Octubre2020–2022
  • Independiente U202012–2018

P. Urrutia

Head coach

In charge since 2025

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.