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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 19 · Ecuador

Libertad v Tecnico Universitario

1-0Full time· Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja· Referee: E. Moreira

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Libertad v Tecnico Universitario: the model read

Libertad meet Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro regular season - 19 at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 32% LIB, 34% draw, 34% TEC.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors Libertad on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Tecnico Universitario at 51%; double chance reads Libertad or draw 66%, Tecnico Universitario or draw 68%.

Libertad arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Mushuc Runa SC, W 1-0 v Delfin SC, L 0-1 @ Barcelona SC, W 1-0 v Tecnico Universitario.

Tecnico Universitario are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Manta FC, L 0-3 @ Independiente del Valle, L 0-1 v Aucas, L 0-1 @ Libertad.

Libertad hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Libertad 1-0 Tecnico Universitario.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Libertad

DWLWW5-6-9

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • WAMushuc Runa SC2-0
  • WHDelfin SC1-0
  • LABarcelona SC0-1
  • WHTecnico Universitario1-0
  • DALDU de Quito0-0

Tecnico Universitario

LLLLW8-0-12

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 30%

  • WHManta FC1-0
  • LAIndependiente del Valle0-3
  • LHAucas0-1
  • LALibertad0-1
  • LHMacara0-2

Head-to-head

8 meetings

LibertadrecordTecnico Universitario
4
2
2 draws

Goals

11-9

for each

Avg goals

2.5

per game

BTTS

50%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Libertad

Recent
WLWDLW
Wins 4Goals 11-9

Biggest win 4-1

Tecnico Universitario

Recent
LWLDWL
Wins 2Goals 9-11

Biggest win 3-0

  • Libertad1-0Tecnico Universitario
  • Tecnico Universitario2-1Libertad
  • Libertad4-1Tecnico Universitario
  • Tecnico Universitario2-2Libertad
  • Tecnico Universitario3-0Libertad
  • Libertad1-0Tecnico Universitario
  • Tecnico Universitario1-1Libertad
  • Libertad1-0Tecnico Universitario

Managers

J. León

Ecuador · 50

In charge since 2024 · 4 clubs managed

  • Orense2022–2023
  • 9 de Octubre2020–2022
  • Independiente U202012–2018

G. Cumbicus

Ecuador · 45

In charge since 2025 · 6 clubs managed

  • Libertad2023–2024
  • Mushuc Runa2021–2023
  • Olmedo2020–2020
  • Mushuc Runa2018–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.