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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 17 · Ecuador

Orense SC v Tecnico Universitario

1-2Full time· Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala· Referee: A. Aragon

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Orense SC v Tecnico Universitario: the model read

Orense SC meet Tecnico Universitario in the Liga Pro regular season - 17 at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala. The model makes Orense SC the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% ORE, 32% draw, 33% TEC.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 40%. Attacking output favors Orense SC on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Orense SC at 51%; double chance reads Orense SC or draw 67%, Tecnico Universitario or draw 66%.

Orense SC arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Independiente del Valle, W 2-1 v Aucas, L 1-2 @ Mushuc Runa SC, L 0-2 v Emelec.

Tecnico Universitario are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Manta FC, L 0-3 @ Independiente del Valle, L 0-1 v Aucas, L 0-1 @ Libertad.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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See plans

Orense SC

DLLWL7-3-10

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LHIndependiente del Valle2-3
  • WHAucas2-1
  • LAMushuc Runa SC1-2
  • LHEmelec0-2
  • DAManta FC0-0

Tecnico Universitario

LLLLW8-0-12

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 30%

  • WHManta FC1-0
  • LAIndependiente del Valle0-3
  • LHAucas0-1
  • LALibertad0-1
  • LHMacara0-2

Managers

R. Antuña

Argentina · 52

In charge since 2025 · 8 clubs managed

  • San Martín San Juan2024–2025
  • San Martín San Juan2023–2023
  • San Martín San Juan2022–2022
  • Juventud Unida Univ.2018–2019

G. Cumbicus

Ecuador · 45

In charge since 2025 · 6 clubs managed

  • Libertad2023–2024
  • Mushuc Runa2021–2023
  • Olmedo2020–2020
  • Mushuc Runa2018–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.