Libertad v Leones del Norte: the model read
Libertad meet Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro regular season - 17 at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. The model makes Leones del Norte the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 27% LIB, 34% draw, 40% LEO.
Leones del Norte rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1431. Recent form leans Leones del Norte, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Leones del Norte on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Leones del Norte at 60%; double chance reads Libertad or draw 60%, Leones del Norte or draw 73%.
Libertad arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Mushuc Runa SC, W 1-0 v Delfin SC, L 0-1 @ Barcelona SC, W 1-0 v Tecnico Universitario.
Leones del Norte are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Delfin SC, D 1-1 v Guayaquil City FC, W 1-0 @ LDU de Quito, D 1-1 v Deportivo Cuenca.
Leones del Norte hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Libertad 1-3 Leones del Norte.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
