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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 16 · Ecuador

LDU de Quito v Orense SC

3-0Full time· Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito· Referee: A. Cajas

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Match analysisPre-match brief

LDU de Quito v Orense SC: the model read

LDU de Quito meet Orense SC in the Liga Pro regular season - 16 at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito. The model makes LDU de Quito the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% LDU, 33% draw, 29% ORE.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans LDU de Quito, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Orense SC on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans LDU de Quito at 56%; double chance reads LDU de Quito or draw 71%, Orense SC or draw 63%.

LDU de Quito arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Barcelona SC, D 1-1 @ Manta FC, L 0-1 v Leones del Norte, L 0-1 @ Universidad Catolica.

Orense SC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Independiente del Valle, W 2-1 v Aucas, L 1-2 @ Mushuc Runa SC, L 0-2 v Emelec.

LDU de Quito hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 4 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: LDU de Quito 3-0 Orense SC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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LDU de Quito

DLLDW7-7-6

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 0.75 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 35%

  • WABarcelona SC1-0
  • DAManta FC1-1
  • LHLeones del Norte0-1
  • LAUniversidad Catolica0-1
  • DHLibertad0-0

Orense SC

DLLWL7-3-10

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.50 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 65%

  • LHIndependiente del Valle2-3
  • WHAucas2-1
  • LAMushuc Runa SC1-2
  • LHEmelec0-2
  • DAManta FC0-0

Head-to-head

10 meetings

LDU de QuitorecordOrense SC
6
4
0 draws

Goals

19-8

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

70%

3+ goals

LDU de Quito

Recent
WWLWLW
Wins 6Goals 19-8

Biggest win 4-0

Orense SC

Recent
LLWLWL
Wins 4Goals 8-19

Biggest win 2-1

  • LDU de Quito3-0Orense SC
  • Orense SC1-2LDU de Quito
  • Orense SC2-1LDU de Quito
  • LDU de Quito4-0Orense SC
  • Orense SC2-1LDU de Quito
  • LDU de Quito4-0Orense SC
  • LDU de Quito2-0Orense SC
  • Orense SC1-0LDU de Quito
  • LDU de Quito1-0Orense SC
  • Orense SC2-1LDU de Quito

Managers

Tiago Nunes

Brazil · 45

In charge since 2025 · 11 clubs managed

  • Botafogo2023–2024
  • Sporting Cristal2022–2023
  • Ceará2021–2022
  • Grêmio2021–2021

R. Antuña

Argentina · 52

In charge since 2025 · 8 clubs managed

  • San Martín San Juan2024–2025
  • San Martín San Juan2023–2023
  • San Martín San Juan2022–2022
  • Juventud Unida Univ.2018–2019

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.