Emelec v Macara: the model read
Emelec meet Macara in the Liga Pro regular season - 15 at Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil. The model makes Macara the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 26% EME, 33% draw, 41% MAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Macara, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Macara at 61%; double chance reads Emelec or draw 59%, Macara or draw 74%.
Emelec arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Deportivo Cuenca, D 1-1 v Mushuc Runa SC, L 1-6 @ Independiente del Valle, W 2-0 @ Orense SC.
Macara are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gualaceo SC, W 4-1 @ Aucas, W 3-0 v Deportivo Cuenca, L 1-2 @ Delfin SC.
Emelec hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Emelec 2-0 Macara.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output