Emelec v LDU de Quito: the model read
Emelec meet LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro regular season - 11 at Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil. The model makes LDU de Quito the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 27% EME, 36% draw, 37% LDU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 53%. Attacking output favors LDU de Quito on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 20%, over 2.5 goals around 13%. Draw no bet leans LDU de Quito at 58%; double chance reads Emelec or draw 63%, LDU de Quito or draw 73%.
Emelec arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Deportivo Cuenca, D 1-1 v Mushuc Runa SC, L 1-6 @ Independiente del Valle, W 2-0 @ Orense SC.
LDU de Quito are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Barcelona SC, D 1-1 @ Manta FC, L 0-1 v Leones del Norte, L 0-1 @ Universidad Catolica.
LDU de Quito hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Emelec 1-0 LDU de Quito.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
