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Liga Pro · Regular Season - 10 · Ecuador

Libertad v Guayaquil City FC

0-1Full time· Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja· Referee: Robert Cabrera, Ecuador

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Libertad v Guayaquil City FC: the model read

Libertad meet Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro regular season - 10 at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. The model makes Guayaquil City FC the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 30% LIB, 34% draw, 35% GUA.

The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Guayaquil City FC, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Guayaquil City FC on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Guayaquil City FC at 54%; double chance reads Libertad or draw 65%, Guayaquil City FC or draw 70%.

Libertad arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Mushuc Runa SC, W 1-0 v Delfin SC, L 0-1 @ Barcelona SC, W 1-0 v Tecnico Universitario.

Guayaquil City FC are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Universidad Catolica, D 1-1 @ Leones del Norte, W 1-0 v Manta FC, D 1-1 @ Barcelona SC.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Libertad 0-1 Guayaquil City FC.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Libertad

DWLWW5-6-9

Scored 0.90 · Conceded 1.25 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 45%

  • WAMushuc Runa SC2-0
  • WHDelfin SC1-0
  • LABarcelona SC0-1
  • WHTecnico Universitario1-0
  • DALDU de Quito0-0

Guayaquil City FC

WDWDD7-6-7

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.05 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 45%

  • DHUniversidad Catolica0-0
  • DALeones del Norte1-1
  • WHManta FC1-0
  • DABarcelona SC1-1
  • WHDelfin SC2-1

Head-to-head

3 meetings

LibertadrecordGuayaquil City FC
1
1
1 draw

Goals

2-2

for each

Avg goals

1.3

per game

BTTS

33%

both scored

Over 2.5

0%

3+ goals

Libertad

Recent
LWD
Wins 1Goals 2-2

Biggest win 1-0

Guayaquil City FC

Recent
WLD
Wins 1Goals 2-2

Biggest win 1-0

  • Libertad0-1Guayaquil City FC
  • Libertad1-0Guayaquil City FC
  • Guayaquil City FC1-1Libertad

Managers

J. León

Ecuador · 50

In charge since 2024 · 4 clubs managed

  • Orense2022–2023
  • 9 de Octubre2020–2022
  • Independiente U202012–2018

P. Gavilánez

Ecuador

In charge since 2017

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.