Esteghlal FC v Fajr Sepasi: the model read
Esteghlal FC meet Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League regular season - 23 at Azadi Stadium, Tehran. The model makes Esteghlal FC the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% EST, 33% draw, 27% FAJ.
Esteghlal FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1582 to 1456. Recent form leans Esteghlal FC, 62% against 42%. Attacking output favors Esteghlal FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Esteghlal FC at 60%; double chance reads Esteghlal FC or draw 73%, Fajr Sepasi or draw 60%.
Esteghlal FC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Fajr Sepasi, W 1-0 @ Mes Rafsanjan, L 2-3 @ Al Hussein, L 0-1 v Al Hussein.
Fajr Sepasi are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Esteghlal FC, W 1-0 v Shams Azar Qazvin, L 0-1 @ Esteghlal Khuzestan, W 2-1 v Tractor Sazi.
Esteghlal FC hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Esteghlal FC 2-1 Fajr Sepasi.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
