Punjab v Kerala: the model read
Punjab meet Kerala in the Santosh Trophy semi-finals. The model makes Kerala the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 23% PUN, 28% draw, 49% KER.
Kerala rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1535. Recent form leans Kerala, 78% against 53%. Attacking output favors Kerala on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 60%. Draw no bet leans Kerala at 69%; double chance reads Punjab or draw 51%, Kerala or draw 77%.
Punjab arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Kerala, D 1-1 @ Tamilnadu, W 5-2 v Odisha, W 1-0 @ Services.
Kerala are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Services, W 4-0 @ Punjab, W 3-0 v Assam, L 0-1 v Services.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output