USA W v Canada W: the model read
USA W meet Canada W in the SheBelieves Cup group stage - 2. The model makes USA W the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% USA, 29% draw, 22% CAN.
USA W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1771 to 1558. Recent form leans USA W, 84% against 55%. Attacking output favors USA W on expected goals, 2.7 to 2.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans USA W at 69%; double chance reads USA W or draw 78%, Canada W or draw 51%.
USA W arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Brazil W, L 1-2 @ Brazil W, W 3-0 v Japan W, L 0-1 v Japan W.
Canada W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 @ Costa Rica W, L 0-1 @ Brazil W, W 3-1 v South Korea W, W 4-0 v Zambia W.
USA W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: USA W 1-0 Canada W.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
