Where the market is wrong on Rydalmere Lions v Dulwich Hill
Rydalmere Lions meet Dulwich Hill in the New South Wales NPL 2 regular season - 30.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 38%. Attacking output favors Dulwich Hill on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Rydalmere Lions arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Dulwich Hill, L 1-3 @ Hills Brumbies, L 0-3 v Prospect United, L 1-2 @ Northern Tigers.
Dulwich Hill are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Rydalmere Lions, L 0-2 v Inter Lions, W 3-1 @ Newcastle Jets II, L 1-2 v Macarthur Rams.
The market prices RYD at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
