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New South Wales NPL · Regular Season - 29 · Australia

Sutherland Sharks v St George City FA

2-1Full time· Seymour Shaw Park

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Sutherland Sharks v St George City FA

Sutherland Sharks meet St George City FA in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 29 at Seymour Shaw Park, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sutherland Sharks, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sutherland Sharks on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Sutherland Sharks at 60%; double chance reads Sutherland Sharks or draw 72%, St George City FA or draw 59%.

Sutherland Sharks arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v St George City FA, L 0-1 @ Marconi Stallions, D 1-1 v Sydney FC U23, W 2-1 v Wollongong Wolves.

St George City FA are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sutherland Sharks, W 2-0 @ Sydney FC U23, W 1-0 v Rockdale City Suns, W 1-0 @ Marconi Stallions.

St George City FA hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sutherland Sharks 2-1 St George City FA.

The market prices SUT at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sutherland Sharks

WWDLW10-4-6

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 1.20 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 70%

  • WHSt George City FA2-1
  • LAMarconi Stallions0-1
  • DHSydney FC U231-1
  • WHWollongong Wolves2-1
  • WARockdale City Suns3-1

St George City FA

WWWWL8-4-8

Scored 0.95 · Conceded 1.30 · Clean sheets 40% · BTTS 40%

  • LASutherland Sharks1-2
  • WASydney FC U232-0
  • WHRockdale City Suns1-0
  • WAMarconi Stallions1-0
  • WHSydney United1-0

Head-to-head

8 meetings

Sutherland SharksrecordSt George City FA
1
6
1 draw

Goals

4-13

for each

Avg goals

2.1

per game

BTTS

38%

both scored

Over 2.5

38%

3+ goals

Sutherland Sharks

Recent
WLLLLD
Wins 1Goals 4-13

Biggest win 2-1

St George City FA

Recent
LWWWWD
Wins 6Goals 13-4

Biggest win 3-0

  • Sutherland Sharks2-1St George City FA
  • St George City FA1-0Sutherland Sharks
  • St George City FA1-0Sutherland Sharks
  • Sutherland Sharks0-3St George City FA
  • Sutherland Sharks0-1St George City FA
  • St George City FA1-1Sutherland Sharks
  • St George City FA3-1Sutherland Sharks
  • Sutherland Sharks0-2St George City FA

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.