Ilioupoli v Egaleo: the model read
Ilioupoli meet Egaleo in the Super League 2 relegation group - 10. The model makes Egaleo the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% ILI, 33% draw, 39% EGA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Egaleo, 48% against 30%. Attacking output favors Egaleo on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 25%. Draw no bet leans Egaleo at 59%; double chance reads Ilioupoli or draw 61%, Egaleo or draw 72%.
Ilioupoli arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Egaleo, L 0-1 @ Kissamikos, L 0-2 v Ellas Syros, L 0-2 v Kallithea.
Egaleo are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Ilioupoli, L 2-3 @ Panargiakos, W 1-0 v Kissamikos, W 2-1 v Ellas Syros.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
