Ventforet Kofu v Matsumoto Yamaga: the model read
Ventforet Kofu meet Matsumoto Yamaga in the J2/J3 League regular season - 4 at JIT Recycle Ink Stadium, Kofu. The model makes Matsumoto Yamaga the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 28% VEN, 32% draw, 39% MAT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 58%. Attacking output favors Matsumoto Yamaga on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Matsumoto Yamaga at 58%; double chance reads Ventforet Kofu or draw 61%, Matsumoto Yamaga or draw 72%.
Ventforet Kofu arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Matsumoto Yamaga, L 1-2 @ Tegevajaro Miyazaki, L 0-1 @ Vegalta Sendai, D 0-0 @ Parceiro Nagano.
Matsumoto Yamaga are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Ventforet Kofu, L 0-2 v Nara Club, W 2-1 @ Montedio Yamagata, D 3-3 v Fukushima United.
Matsumoto Yamaga hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Matsumoto Yamaga 3-0 Ventforet Kofu.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
