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Super League · Regular Season - 18 · Uzbekistan

Sogdiana v Qizilqum

2-1Full time· Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh· Referee: A. Khudoyberganov

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Sogdiana v Qizilqum: the model read

Sogdiana meet Qizilqum in the Super League regular season - 18 at Sogdiana Sport Complex, Jizzakh.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 36%. Attacking output favors Sogdiana on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Sogdiana at 57%; double chance reads Sogdiana or draw 69%, Qizilqum or draw 60%.

Sogdiana arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Neftchi, W 2-1 v Qizilqum, W 3-1 @ Surkhon, W 1-0 v Andijan.

Qizilqum are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sogdiana, W 2-0 v Mash'al, L 0-5 @ Neftchi, L 0-1 @ Nasaf.

Sogdiana hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sogdiana 2-1 Qizilqum.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Sogdiana

WWWWL7-3-10

Scored 1.60 · Conceded 2.00 · Clean sheets 10% · BTTS 70%

  • LANeftchi0-3
  • WHQizilqum2-1
  • WASurkhon3-1
  • WHAndijan1-0
  • WAMash'al3-1

Qizilqum

DLLWL5-3-10

Scored 0.89 · Conceded 1.61 · Clean sheets 22.2% · BTTS 38.9%

  • LASogdiana1-2
  • WHMash'al2-0
  • LANeftchi0-5
  • LANasaf0-1
  • DANavbahor1-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

SogdianarecordQizilqum
6
2
2 draws

Goals

18-10

for each

Avg goals

2.8

per game

BTTS

60%

both scored

Over 2.5

60%

3+ goals

Sogdiana

Recent
WWWWDD
Wins 6Goals 18-10

Biggest win 3-0

Qizilqum

Recent
LLLLDD
Wins 2Goals 10-18

Biggest win 4-2

  • Sogdiana2-1Qizilqum
  • Qizilqum1-3Sogdiana
  • Sogdiana3-0Qizilqum
  • Sogdiana4-1Qizilqum
  • Qizilqum0-0Sogdiana
  • Qizilqum1-1Sogdiana
  • Sogdiana1-0Qizilqum
  • Qizilqum4-2Sogdiana
  • Sogdiana1-0Qizilqum
  • Qizilqum2-1Sogdiana

Managers

Ulugbek Bakaev

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Jamshid Saidov

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.