Mash'al v Sogdiana: the model read
Mash'al meet Sogdiana in the Super League regular season - 15 at Stadion Guzor, Guzar. The model makes Sogdiana the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 28% MAS, 31% draw, 41% SOG.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sogdiana, 33% against 23%. Attacking output favors Sogdiana on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Sogdiana at 60%; double chance reads Mash'al or draw 59%, Sogdiana or draw 72%.
Mash'al arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Olmaliq, D 1-1 v Nasaf, W 1-0 v Kokand-1912, L 1-3 @ Dinamo Samarqand.
Sogdiana are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Lokomotiv, L 1-5 v Neftchi, W 2-0 v Xorazm, L 1-2 @ Buxoro.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Sogdiana 2-0 Mash'al.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
