Xorazm v Surkhon: the model read
Xorazm meet Surkhon in the Super League regular season - 14 at Xorazm Stadium, undefined. The model makes Surkhon the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 32% XOR, 31% draw, 37% SUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Surkhon, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Surkhon on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 42%. Draw no bet leans Surkhon at 54%; double chance reads Xorazm or draw 63%, Surkhon or draw 68%.
Xorazm arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Pakhtakor, L 0-2 @ Sogdiana, L 0-3 v Andijan, D 0-0 @ Qizilqum.
Surkhon are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Dinamo Samarqand, W 2-1 @ Andijan, D 1-1 v Pakhtakor, L 2-5 @ Sogdiana.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Xorazm 2-2 Surkhon.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
