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Virsliga · Regular Season - 32 · Latvia

Tukums v Riga

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Tukums v Riga: the model read

Tukums meet Riga in the Virsliga regular season - 32.

Riga rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1400. Recent form leans Riga, 80% against 28%. Attacking output favors Riga on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.5 per match.

Tukums arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v FS Jelgava, L 0-3 @ Auda, L 0-2 @ BFC Daugavpils, W 2-1 v FK Liepaja.

Riga are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ FK Liepaja, W 2-1 v KI Klaksvik, D 3-3 @ Rīgas FS, D 0-0 @ KI Klaksvik.

Riga hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Riga 3-1 Tukums.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Tukums

LWLLL4-3-13

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 2.20 · Clean sheets 5% · BTTS 75%

  • LHFS Jelgava1-4
  • LAAuda0-3
  • LABFC Daugavpils0-2
  • WHFK Liepaja2-1
  • LHRīgas FS0-1

Riga

WDDWL14-4-2

Scored 2.45 · Conceded 1.10 · Clean sheets 35% · BTTS 60%

  • LAFK Liepaja2-3
  • WHKI Klaksvik2-1
  • DARīgas FS3-3
  • DAKI Klaksvik0-0
  • WHMetta / LU4-1

Head-to-head

10 meetings

TukumsrecordRiga
0
8
2 draws

Goals

6-35

for each

Avg goals

4.1

per game

BTTS

40%

both scored

Over 2.5

80%

3+ goals

Tukums

Recent
LLDDLL
Wins 0Goals 6-35

Riga

Recent
WWDDWW
Wins 8Goals 35-6

Biggest win 10-1

  • Riga3-1Tukums
  • Tukums1-3Riga
  • Riga3-3Tukums
  • Riga0-0Tukums
  • Tukums0-1Riga
  • Riga4-0Tukums
  • Riga3-0Tukums
  • Tukums0-3Riga
  • Riga10-1Tukums
  • Tukums0-5Riga

Managers

Kristaps Dislers

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Adrian Gula

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.