Where the market is wrong on Ogre United v FK Liepaja
Ogre United meet FK Liepaja in the Virsliga regular season - 30.
FK Liepaja rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans FK Liepaja, 50% against 28%. Attacking output favors FK Liepaja on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Ogre United arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FK Liepaja, L 1-2 @ Tukums, L 0-3 v Rīgas FS, L 2-3 v FS Jelgava.
FK Liepaja are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Ogre United, D 0-0 @ Rīgas FS, W 3-2 v Riga, L 0-1 @ Auda.
FK Liepaja hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ogre United 2-2 FK Liepaja.
The market prices OGR at 21% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
