Super Nova v Grobiņa: the model read
Super Nova meet Grobiņa in the Virsliga regular season - 23 at Jana Skredela stadions, Riga. The model makes Super Nova the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% SUP, 32% draw, 30% GRO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 37% against 35%. Attacking output favors Super Nova on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Super Nova at 55%; double chance reads Super Nova or draw 70%, Grobiņa or draw 62%.
Super Nova arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Grobiņa, W 2-1 @ Tukums, L 1-2 v Ogre United, W 2-1 @ Tukums.
Grobiņa are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Ogre United, L 0-2 @ Super Nova, W 1-0 @ Mārupe, W 3-1 v Tukums.
Super Nova hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Super Nova 2-0 Grobiņa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
