Skip to content
Virsliga · Regular Season - 22 · Latvia

BFC Daugavpils v FK Liepaja

3-1Full time· Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils· Referee: A. Anufrijevs

Share
Match analysisPre-match brief

BFC Daugavpils v FK Liepaja: the model read

BFC Daugavpils meet FK Liepaja in the Virsliga regular season - 22 at Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils. The model makes BFC Daugavpils the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% BFC, 31% draw, 33% FK .

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 50%. Attacking output favors FK Liepaja on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans BFC Daugavpils at 52%; double chance reads BFC Daugavpils or draw 67%, FK Liepaja or draw 64%.

BFC Daugavpils arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Auda, W 4-0 @ Ogre United, D 3-3 @ Riga Mariners, W 3-1 v FK Liepaja.

FK Liepaja are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ FS Jelgava, L 0-2 v Austria Vienna, W 2-1 @ Dečić, L 0-1 @ Auda.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

Pro

The model forecast is a Pro feature.

Live scores, stats and commentary are always free. The glass-box model — probabilities, the edge against the market and the full match dossier — unlocks on Pro.

See plans

BFC Daugavpils

LWDWL6-7-7

Scored 1.25 · Conceded 1.15 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 55%

  • LAAuda0-1
  • WAOgre United4-0
  • DARiga Mariners3-3
  • WHFK Liepaja3-1
  • LARīgas FS1-3

FK Liepaja

WLWLW9-2-9

Scored 1.30 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 20% · BTTS 45%

  • WAFS Jelgava2-0
  • LHAustria Vienna0-2
  • WADečić2-1
  • LAAuda0-1
  • WHDečić1-0

Managers

S. Pohodin

Head coach

In charge since 2016

Away coach unavailable.

Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.