Valletta FC v Hamrun Spartans: the model read
Valletta FC meet Hamrun Spartans in the FA Trophy quarter-finals. The model makes Hamrun Spartans the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 31% VAL, 32% draw, 36% HAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 50%. Attacking output favors Hamrun Spartans on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Hamrun Spartans at 54%; double chance reads Valletta FC or draw 64%, Hamrun Spartans or draw 69%.
Valletta FC arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Raków Częstochowa, W 2-1 @ Balzan FC, W 2-1 v Gzira United, L 0-2 v Hamrun Spartans.
Hamrun Spartans are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v NSI Runavik, D 1-1 @ NSI Runavik, W 2-0 @ Valletta FC, L 1-2 @ Marsaxlokk.
Hamrun Spartans hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Valletta FC 0-2 Hamrun Spartans.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
