Penarol v Atletico Torque: the model read
Penarol meet Atletico Torque in the Primera División - Apertura apertura - 1 at Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo. The model makes Atletico Torque the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 33% PEN, 31% draw, 36% ATL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Atletico Torque, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Atletico Torque on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Atletico Torque at 53%; double chance reads Penarol or draw 64%, Atletico Torque or draw 67%.
Penarol arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Boston River, D 1-1 @ Racing Montevideo, W 1-0 @ Cerro, L 0-1 v Central Espanol.
Atletico Torque are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Danubio, W 3-1 @ Juventud, L 1-4 @ Bahia, L 2-4 v Deportivo Maldonado.
Penarol hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Penarol 3-1 Atletico Torque.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
