Omonia Nicosia v AEL: the model read
Omonia Nicosia meet AEL in the Cup quarter-finals at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. The model makes Omonia Nicosia the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% OMO, 28% draw, 23% AEL.
Omonia Nicosia rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1489. Recent form leans Omonia Nicosia, 78% against 45%. Attacking output favors Omonia Nicosia on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Omonia Nicosia at 68%; double chance reads Omonia Nicosia or draw 77%, AEL or draw 51%.
Omonia Nicosia arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Kairat Almaty, W 2-1 v Panetolikos, D 0-0 @ Korona Kielce, D 2-2 v Hapoel Beer Sheva.
AEL are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Akritas, L 1-3 v Olympiakos, D 1-1 @ Krasava Ypsonas, L 0-1 v Anorthosis.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
