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MLS Next Pro · Group Stage · USA

Chattanooga v Carolina Core

5-2Full time· Finley Stadium

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Match analysisPre-match brief

Where the market is wrong on Chattanooga v Carolina Core

Chattanooga meet Carolina Core in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Finley Stadium, undefined.

Chattanooga rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1431. Recent form leans Chattanooga, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Chattanooga on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.5 per match.

Chattanooga arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Carolina Core, L 1-3 @ Crown Legacy, D 2-2 @ Toronto II, W 1-0 v Atlanta United II.

Carolina Core are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v New England II, L 2-5 @ Chattanooga, L 1-3 v FC Cincinnati II, W 2-0 v Huntsville City.

Chattanooga hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chattanooga 5-2 Carolina Core.

The market prices CHA at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Carolina Core: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Chattanooga

WWDLW9-6-5

Scored 1.85 · Conceded 1.45 · Clean sheets 30% · BTTS 60%

  • WHCarolina Core5-2
  • LACrown Legacy1-3
  • DAToronto II2-2
  • WHAtlanta United II1-0
  • WAInter Miami II1-0

Carolina Core

DWLLD5-6-9

Scored 1.50 · Conceded 1.90 · Clean sheets 25% · BTTS 65%

  • DHNew England II2-2
  • LAChattanooga2-5
  • LHFC Cincinnati II1-3
  • WHHuntsville City2-0
  • DAAtlanta United II3-3

Head-to-head

9 meetings

ChattanoogarecordCarolina Core
5
2
2 draws

Goals

16-8

for each

Avg goals

2.7

per game

BTTS

56%

both scored

Over 2.5

44%

3+ goals

Chattanooga

Recent
WDWDWW
Wins 5Goals 16-8

Biggest win 5-2

Carolina Core

Recent
LDLDLL
Wins 2Goals 8-16

Biggest win 2-1

  • Chattanooga5-2Carolina Core
  • Carolina Core1-1Chattanooga
  • Chattanooga1-0Carolina Core
  • Chattanooga0-0Carolina Core
  • Carolina Core0-1Chattanooga
  • Carolina Core1-4Chattanooga
  • Carolina Core2-1Chattanooga
  • Chattanooga1-2Carolina Core
  • Chattanooga2-0Carolina Core

Managers

Richard Dixon

Head coach

In charge since 2026

Donovan Ricketts

Head coach

In charge since 2026

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MeisterIQ, the four model inputs, model vs market and the edge

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Real data only: recent results, head-to-head and market odds. No model output is shown for teams without Lemeister priors.