Ventura County v Portland Timbers II

Ventura County meet Portland Timbers II in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Dignity Health Sports Park, undefined.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1661, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Portland Timbers II, 73% against 63%. Attacking output favors Ventura County on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Ventura County at 50%; double chance reads Ventura County or draw 65%, Portland Timbers II or draw 65%.

Ventura County arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 15 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Portland Timbers II, W 2-0 @ Houston Dynamo FC II, W 6-1 v North Texas, W 3-0 v The Town.

Portland Timbers II are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Ventura County, W 3-0 @ North Texas, D 0-0 v Los Angeles FC II, W 2-1 @ Minnesota United II.

Portland Timbers II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ventura County 2-2 Portland Timbers II.

The market prices VEN at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.